Tuesday, January 26, 2021

Increased child infection rates cast doubt on school reopenings


 According to figures presented by Gallant this week during a meeting with local government heads on the potential reopening of the education system, 54% of the students diagnosed with the coronavirus are ultra-Orthodox.


  1. Being frum, and military service , contribute to longer life expectancy in Israel

    A second group of factors is related to religiosity. There is an established
    and growing literature on the positive effect of religiosity on health at the
    individual level in both developed and developing countries (Hummer,
    Rogers, Nam, and Ellison, 1999; Trinitapoli and Weinreb, 2012). In Israel, in
    particular, Taub Center researchers have already shown that life expectancy
    is higher than expected — given socioeconomic characteristics — in
    municipalities with a larger percentage of Haredim, that is, ultra-Orthodox
    (Chernikovsky and Sharony, 2015, p. 438). They have argued that given
    8 This is at odds with the impact of this type of geographic endowment on economic
    development — the most economically advanced countries tend to be somewhat further from
    the equator — though there has been some debate about causation, since much of this effect
    works through the quality of the “institutions” that facilitate underlying social and economic
    change (Easterly and Levine, 2003; Rodrik, Subramanian and Trebbi, 2004).
    9 We also checked the effect of and “percentage of the country that is desert” and “percent-
    age that is tropical.” These had no net effect on life expectancy.

    the relatively low access to organizations that explicitly promote healthy
    behavior in Haredi areas, these better-than-expected health outcomes are
    primarily the product of social capital in the Haredi community, especially
    high levels of psychosocial support. Other researchers have identified lower
    rates of smoking and a healthier diet in Israeli (Jewish) religious communities,
    even as they point to higher rates of childhood obesity and lower women’s
    exercise, indicating future reductions in religious communities’ health
    advantage (Shmueli and Tamir, 2007).
    Since there are no religiosity data available for such a large sample of
    countries, religiosity is captured indirectly here using data from the 2007
    to 2012 waves of the Pew Research Center’s Global Restrictions on Religion
    A third group of factors has to do with mandatory military service. Of
    the four countries with the highest male life expectancy in the world (WHO
    estimates), only Iceland does not have mandatory military service. The three
    others, Israel, Switzerland and Singapore, all have universal conscription
    with relatively high quality military training and an ongoing commitment
    to the military that lasts into men’s 30s or 40s, depending on country, rank
    and task. In Israel, women also perform mandatory service.


  2. Children get the virus but they don't go to hospital and they're not good at giving it to adults. The point of the lockdowns isn't to stop the spread totally. Nothing can do that short of martial law. The point is to easy the burdens on hospitals. So if keeping schools open doesn't lead to increased hospital traffic, why not?

  3. that is not true any more in Israel. Hadassah now has corona ICU for children

  4. " they're not good at giving it to adults."
    That's not true. This was believed early on in the pandemic but proved baseless. They have the same viral load and ability to spread on average that adults have. Children typically have less severe cases. Their immune system is better able to combat the virus. But if too many children get infected, those tiny percentages of severe cases translate into real people dying God forbid.

  5. Interesting. Over here in Canada that has, B"H, not happened yet.


please use either your real name or a pseudonym.