Tuesday, November 3, 2020

CNN's final 2020 Electoral College outlook: A remarkably stable race comes to an end

 https://edition.cnn.com/2020/11/02/politics/electoral-college-outlook/index.html

Trump's path to 270 is dependent upon an explosive Election Day turnout to make up for the advantage Biden appears to have in the record breaking early, mail-in and absentee vote. In our final outlook, Trump has 20 states totaling 125 electoral votes solidly in his tally. If you add Texas' 38 electoral votes currently leaning his way, the President is at 163 electoral votes.
We currently have six states and one congressional district in Maine as pure toss-up battlegrounds totaling 96 electoral votes.
It is clear that Trump's path to reelection is far narrower than Biden's, but it remains a viable one. And, while 2020 is a fundamentally different political environment than 2016, he showed the ability to pave such a path just four years ago.

1 comment :

  1. Ah, the hazy memory of 2016 when, even as Trump's electoral college passed Hillary's, CNN was still assuring us she'd win. Good times!

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