https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/iran-war-us-israel-news-updates
Mediators from Turkey, Egypt and Pakistan are pushing for a meeting between U.S. and Iranian officials, but Tehran has displayed defiance over the possibility of diplomacy and both sides remain far apart.
The U.S. sent Iran a 15-point plan to end the war, which centers largely on previous Trump administration demands of Tehran. Iran’s state-run Press TV broadcaster said Tehran had rejected the U.S. proposal and set out its own conditions for a deal, including reparations and recognition of Iranian sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz.
Gulf Arab states are growing alarmed by Trump’s eagerness to do a deal. The leaders of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are lobbying Trump to stick with the war until Iran is sufficiently weakened that it won’t pose a threat.
About the name I go by. This blog gives me a choice of either posting with a Google account, as Anonymous, or as "Name" -- where the letters of "Name" appear in light gray and are there to type over.
ReplyDeleteI don't want to sign in with my Google account. Signing in as Anonymous is against the rules of this blog. So, if I want to comment, I have to enter a name. To simplify commenting, I just type "Name" over the grayed out "Name".
Now, my comment on the post. Or should I say fantasy, since such are parts or all of some of my comments apparently sometimes deemed.
In broad terms:
Possibility I
The Iranian regime is intact and not negotiating. It is telling the truth when it says it is not negotiating.
Possibility II
The Iranian regime is intact and negotiating. It is lying when it says it is not negotiating.
Possibility III
The Iranian regime is split. All factions of the regime are not negotiating and thus a statement from one of the factions that there are no negotiations is a true statement.
Possibility IV
The Iranian regime is split. One faction is negiating. Another faction is not negotiating. Thus, a statement from the non-negotiating faction that there are no negotiations is a false statement.
Possibility V
The Iranian regime is split. One faction is negotiating. Another faction is not negotiating. Thus, a statement from the negotiating faction that there are no negotiations is a lie.
Possibility VI
The Iranian regime is split. Both factions are negotiating. Thus, a statement from either faction that they are not negotiating is a lie.
Analysis
President Trump is negotiating with a relatively weak leader within the regime leadership. He is offering them a deal: Sign it, and I'll use U.S. military might against your internal opponents in order to install you in power and keep you there as long as once power you keep the deal.
This is a sweet deal. All it takes to wipe out the opponents of the newly installed puppet leader is the GPS coordinates of their homes and offices or to have someone stick a GPS tracker on their vehicle.
correction: "...once in power..."
Delete(A disadvantage of not using a Google account is that comments can't be edited.)