https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-polling-data-five-thirty-eight-1926226
Donald Trump's chances of winning the November 2024 presidential election are declining, according to a new aggregation of polls.
FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker, which was originally published on July 8 and updated on July 16, shows Joe Biden with a 53 percent chance of winning the election, while Trump has a 46 percent chance.
According to the tracker, Biden is favored to win in 534 out of 1,000 of FiveThirtyEight's simulations of how the election could go, while Trump wins in 462. The poll also shows that the simulations indicate that Biden is on track for a three-point win.
Nope. 270 to Win has him ahead 251 - 226 and RealClearPolitics has him ahead in every poll except the NPR ones.
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