Monday, December 2, 2024

Marit Ayin, Chashad, and Social Media

 https://www.etzion.org.il/en/philosophy/issues-jewish-thought/topical-issues-thought/marit-ayin-chashad-and-social-media

Some Poskim, such as the Peri Chadash, argue that only those things which Chazal explicitly prohibited because of marit ayin are prohibited. Anything else is permitted.[7] Others, however, argue that this is not the case.[8]

 Sometimes, a prohibition that seem related to marit ayin is referred to as chashad — it will cause one to be suspect.[10] Rav Moshe Feinstein (Responsa Iggerot Moshe, OC 2:40, 4:82) suggests that these are distinct categories.

 He writes that marit ayin refers to cases where Chazal wanted to avoid having a person do something that might cause others to violate prohibitions, by mimicking the activity in cases that were more problematic. This is rabbinic in nature.

 Chashad, on the other hand, refers to cases in which an observer may assume that the actor is violating a prohibition — and this is the biblical prohibition based on being clean in the eyes of man, which we saw above. This is true even though people should really give the “violator” the benefit of the doubt. However, as the Torah knows that this will not always happen, it forbids people from engaging in such suspicious activities. (Note that many believe that all these prohibitions are rabbinic.[11])

"Maris ayin” and “chashad”. What do these terms mean and how do they differ from each other?

 https://oukosher.org/halacha-yomis/talmud-often-uses-terms-maris-ayin-chashad-terms-mean-differ/

Rav Moshe Feinstein, zt”l (Igros Moshe (OC II:40)) defines maris ayin (literally, “appearance to the eye”) as the­ prohibition against giving the impression that one is doing something wrong when it may influence others to sin as well. Chashad (literally, “suspicion”) is the prohibition of causing others to suspect one of wrongdoing, even when it will not cause others to sin. Although maris ayin is the more serious violation, the mere appearance of impropriety is also forbidden. This is derived from the verse in Bamidbar (32:22), “And you shall be clean before Hashem and before Yisroel.” The tribes of Gad and Reuven wanted to remain on the east bank of the Jordan and not join the other tribes in conquering the Land of Israel. Moshe encouraged them to be clean (to act appropriately) “before G-d and before Yisroel.” “Before Yisroel” indicates that a person must be concerned about human perception. The Mishnah (Avoda Zara 11b) states that one is not permitted to follow a path that is designated as an entrance to a temple of idolatry. Rashi writes that this is because of chashad. Igros Moshe explains that maris ayin does not apply in this case, because there is no concern that a Jew will be easily influenced to worship idolatry. Yet, it is still forbidden to take the path towards the idol because of chashad—arousing suspicion about one’s own behavior.

COVID-19 and the Swedish enigma - the elderly were sacrificed for economic reasons

 https://www.thelancet.com/article/S0140-6736(20)32750-1/fulltext

In the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Swedish national response continues to be an outlier with cases and deaths increasing more rapidly than in its Nordic neighbours.1,2 On Dec 20, 2020, COVID-19 deaths in Sweden had reached more than 80003 or 787 deaths per 1 million population, which is 4·5 to ten times higher than its neighbours.1–3 This difference between Nordic countries cannot be explained merely by variations in national cultures, histories, population sizes and densities, immigration patterns, the routes by which the virus was first introduced, or how cases and deaths are reported. Instead, the answers to this enigma are to be found in the Swedish national COVID-19 strategy, the assumptions on which it is based, and in the governance of the health system that has enabled the strategy to continue without major course corrections.

With this gradual approach, the number of COVID-19 deaths in Sweden peaked during the first wave at 102 reported deaths (7-day rolling average) on April 21, 2020,3 at a higher level and with slower decline than in the neighbouring Nordic countries, reaching a low in early September, 2020.1,3 Rather than anticipating the second wave and change course, the Swedish Government loosened restrictions in early October, 2020, increasing the numbers that could attend public events from 50 to 300 and allowing people older than 70 years to meet with family and friends.14

Many critical voices have been raised about Sweden's national response to COVID-19 and its failure to achieve its objectives to flatten and shorten the curves of cases, hospitalisations, and deaths.4,15 The Corona Commission (Coronakommissionen), appointed by the Swedish Government to review the national COVID-19 response, has focused initially on the situation among older people.16 On Dec 15, 2020, the Corona Commission concluded that “the single most important factor behind the major outbreaks and the high number of deaths in [elderly] residential care is the overall spread of the virus in the society”.16 In addition to the failure of the COVID-19 strategy, there are other unresolved structural factors related to the organisation of the care of older people in Sweden.

The Kash Patel Principle

 https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2024/11/kash-patel-principle/680838/

Trump has made clear how much he hates the FBI, and he has convinced his MAGA base that it’s a nest of political corruption. In a stunning reversal of political polarity, a significant part of the law-and-order GOP now regards the men and women of federal law enforcement with contempt and paranoia. If Trump’s goal is to break the FBI and undermine its missions, Kash Patel is the perfect nominee. Some senior officials would likely resign rather than serve under Patel, which would probably suit Trump just fine.

Of course, this means the FBI would struggle to do the things it’s supposed to be doing, including fighting crime and conducting counterintelligence work against America’s enemies. But it would become an excellent instrument of revenge against anyone Trump or Patel identifies as an internal enemy—which, in Trump’s world, is anyone who criticizes Donald Trump.

Excess Death Rates for Republican and Democratic Registered Voters in Florida and Ohio During the COVID-19 Pandemic

 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2807617

Results  Between January 1, 2018, and December 31, 2021, there were 538 159 individuals in Ohio and Florida who died at age 25 years or older in the study sample. The median age at death was 78 years (IQR, 71-89 years). Overall, the excess death rate for Republican voters was 2.8 percentage points, or 15%, higher than the excess death rate for Democratic voters (95% prediction interval [PI], 1.6-3.7 percentage points). After May 1, 2021, when vaccines were available to all adults, the excess death rate gap between Republican and Democratic voters widened from −0.9 percentage point (95% PI, −2.5 to 0.3 percentage points) to 7.7 percentage points (95% PI, 6.0-9.3 percentage points) in the adjusted analysis; the excess death rate among Republican voters was 43% higher than the excess death rate among Democratic voters. The gap in excess death rates between Republican and Democratic voters was larger in counties with lower vaccination rates and was primarily noted in voters residing in Ohio.

COVID-19 and Beyond: Economic Outcomes in Republican vs. Democratic States

 https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/118531/1/Covid_Paper_MPRA.pdf


We conclude that there was not a clear overall economic benefit to the less restrictive COVID-19 policies and lower virus avoidance by individuals in Republican states, particularly in the longer run.

Trump’s Final Numbers

 https://www.factcheck.org/2021/10/trumps-final-numbers/

The economy lost 2.7 million jobs. The unemployment rate increased by 1.7 percentage points to 6.4%.

Paychecks grew faster than inflation. Average weekly earnings for all workers were up 8.4% after inflation.

After-tax corporate profits went up, and the stock market set new records. The S&P 500 index rose 67.8%.

The international trade deficit Trump promised to reduce went up. The U.S. trade deficit in goods and services in 2020 was the highest since 2008 and increased 36.3% from 2016.

The number of people lacking health insurance rose by 3 million.

The federal debt held by the public went up, from $14.4 trillion to $21.6 trillion.

Home prices rose 27.5%, and the homeownership rate increased 2.1 percentage points to 65.8%.

Illegal immigration increased. Apprehensions at the Southwest border rose 14.7% last year compared with 2016.

Trump Doesn’t Exactly Condemn Biden’s Pardon for His Son

 https://www.thedailybeast.com/trump-doesnt-exactly-condemn-bidens-pardon-for-his-son/

Donald Trump reacted to President Joe Biden’s sweeping pardon for his son, Hunter Biden, in a Sunday night statement—addressing the news only by claiming that the rioters convicted for their role in the Jan. 6, 2021 insurrection also deserved to be offered the same privilege. “Does the Pardon given by Joe to Hunter include the J-6 Hostages, who have now been imprisoned for years?” Trump wrote on his Truth Social platform. “Such an abuse and miscarriage of Justice!” Just hours earlier, the Trump campaign vowed to overhaul what it said was a “Democrat-controlled” Department of Justice that prosecuted Hunter Biden in the first place. “The failed witch hunts against President Trump have proven that the Democrat-controlled DOJ and other radical prosecutors are guilty of weaponizing the justice system,” Trump spokesperson Steven Cheung wrote in a statement. “That system of justice must be fixed and due process must be restored for all Americans, which is exactly what President Trump will do as he returns to the White House with an overwhelming mandate from the American people.”

What Trump’s Win Means for the Economy

 https://www.wsj.com/economy/what-a-trump-win-means-for-the-economy-50de4670?mod=WTRN_pos1&cx_testId=3&cx_testVariant=cx_160&cx_artPos=0

The consensus of economists and investors is that tariffs will put upward pressure on inflation while tax cuts could spur growth and add to deficits, together tending to nudge interest rates higher. And indeed, long-term Treasury bond yields had risen recently on strong economic data and Trump’s improved polling, and shot up early Wednesday, along with stock-index futures, as Trump’s victory became apparent.

Rav Yaakov Kaminetzky on Sherlok Holmes

 https://mishpacha.com/lead-like-a-lion/

He tells me about his entrance to the world of practical halachah; the Chullin shiur given by the rosh yeshivah, Rav Yaakov Kamenetsky. “He came in the first day of the zeman and asked “Did anyone here ever read mysteries?”

The bochurim nodded.

“How come Sherlock Holmes was always able to crack the mystery and Watson, nebach, was always oblivious? It’s because Sherlock Holmes knew how to look for clues; he noticed things, not only what was there, but what wasn’t there.”

The bochurim were captivated. “Now, you have to realize that every word in Torah is a mystery. There are clues everywhere; a hashmata, an extra word, a change in lashon. That’s how we reach a conclusion.”

“That,” Rabbi Levene concludes, “is greatness. A litvish rosh yeshivah, a tzaddik, a gaon, who discovered a means of connecting with American bochurim and wasn’t afraid to use it.”

Sunday, December 1, 2024

Tiffany Trump’s father-in-law Massad Boulos to become senior presidential adviser on Arab affairs

 https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5016398-president-elect-trump-appoints-massad-boulos/

Massad Boulos is just the latest family figure in Trump’s orbit to land a post with the administration. On Saturday, Trump said he would nominate Charles Kushner, the father of his son-in-law Jared Kushner, as ambassador to France.

Bombshell Report Exposes Trump’s Mar-a-Lago GOP Grift

 https://newrepublic.com/post/183655/bombshell-report-trump-mar-a-lago-gop-grift

According to an analysis of evidentiary records in New York’s fraud case against the Trump Organization, Mar-a-Lago pulled in a net profit of $22 million in 2022. While the remainder of Trump’s clubs and properties also saw an increase in profits through and after Trump’s presidency, Mar-a-Lago—where Trump spends most of his time and to which conservatives flock, hoping for a glimpse of their dear leader—has seen more than double in profits, according to an analysis by the Times.

Smell like Trump: ‘victory cologne’ for sale as president-elect hawks his wares

 https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/nov/30/trump-merchandise-for-sale

The shoes and the scents pale in comparison to the controversy created by Trump’s God Bless the USA Bible, which the president-elect endorsed and started hawking in March. Priced at $59.99 – $83.37 after tax and shipping – it was described by the Guardian as “a blasphemous, sticky nightmare”, and described by religious leaders as an example of “bankrupt Christianity” and in violation of one of the Ten Commandments.

Trump's new grift: Secret foreign money could be fueling Trump’s transition fund