Tuesday, January 7, 2020
Trump repeatedly claimed in 2011 and 2012 that Obama would start a war with Iran to win reelection
"Our President will start a war with Iran because he has absolutely no ability to negotiate," Trump said in a November 2011 video on his YouTube channel.
"He's weak, and he's ineffective," Trump added. "So I believe that he will attack Iran sometime prior to the election, because he thinks that's the only way he can get elected."
Speaking on the Sean Hannity radio program in January 2012, Trump predicted "some kind of a war" with Iran prior to that year's election.
"I say that he starts a war in Iran before the election, which will make it very hard for the Republican to win," Trump said. "He'll start a war, you know, lives will be wasted for no reason."
"I think it's going to happen sometime prior to the election. There'll be some kind of a war started," added Trump.
On Fox News' On the Record in February 2012 Trump said it was "pretty sad" to say, but said Obama would go to war nonetheless.
"I've said before, I think Obama will go to war with Iran because I think he views it as good politically," Trump said. "That's pretty sad and it's a pretty sad thing to have to say, but I think he will absolutely go to war with Iran. I think he views that as a positive from a political standpoint, and I think he's just waiting for the right moment."
Speaking on the Laura Ingraham Show in April 2012, Trump repeated his prediction. "I happen to think that the president is going to start a war with Iran," said Trump. "I think it'll be a short term popular thing to do. And I think he's going to do that for political reasons."
Trump made the same prediction on Fox News' Justice with Judge Jeanine that month.
"In my opinion, Obama will start a war," Trump said. "For about three weeks it'd be very popular about, by the way, six months later he'll be very unpopular, but by that time it's too late."
"Well, I think that he would do it," Trump continued. "I do believe he will do it -- whether he does it under the guise of Israel or not -- but I do believe he would do it. I've been making that prediction. Let's see what happens. Many of my predictions, as you know better than anybody have come true."
Is medical research facing a replication crisis?
https://www.castoredc.com/blog/replication-crisis-medical-research/
In the past few years, there has been
a growing controversy surrounding the validity of a number of
cornerstone medical research papers. For example, Amgen, a US biotech
company, attempted to replicate 53 high-impact cancer research studies
and were reportedly able to replicate only six. Similarly, researchers from Bayer, a German pharmaceutical company, reported that they were only able to replicate 24 out of 67 studies.
Moreover, John Ioannidis, MD, Professor of Medicine and Statistics at
Stanford University—a strong voice in the replication debate—showed that of 45 of the most influential clinical studies, only 44% were successfully replicated.
Monday, January 6, 2020
Police nab American who fled to Israel amid child sex abuse allegations in 2010
https://www.timesofisrael.com/police-nab-american-who-fled-to-israel-amid-child-sex-abuse-allegations-in-2010/
Police on Sunday arrested a Brooklyn native who has been illegally
residing in Israel since 2010 amid allegations that he sexually abused
his female relatives, a law enforcement official said.
While the identity of the suspect was revealed in the American
press shortly after he fled the country, the Justice Ministry has placed
a gag order barring the publication of the man’s name in order to
protect the identities of the alleged victims.
The suspect was arrested in southern Israel and brought on Monday
before the Jerusalem District Court, where a representative from the
International Affairs Division of the State Prosecutor’s Office filed a
petition for extradition back to the US.
Sunday, January 5, 2020
On foreign policy, Trump flouts risks that gave others pause
https://www.timesofisrael.com/on-foreign-policy-trump-flouts-risks-that-gave-others-pause/
US President Donald Trump is not the first American leader to have
Iranian Gen. Qassem Soleimani in his sights, but he was the first to
pull the trigger.
It’s a pattern that has emerged throughout Trump’s presidency. On
a range of national security matters, he has cast aside the same
warnings that gave his predecessors in both parties pause.
At times, he has simply been willing to embrace more risk. In other
moments, he has questioned the validity of the warnings altogether, even
from experts within his own administration. And he has publicly taken
pride in doing so.
Trump’s willingness to buck conventional thinking has been a defining
feature of his political life. As he enters the final year of his first
term, aides and allies describe him as increasingly emboldened to act
on his instincts. He’s banished the coterie of advisers who viewed
themselves as “guardrails” against his impulse. Others, like former
Defense Secretary Jim Mattis, have left because they disagreed with
Trump’s decision-making.
Dan Shapiro.: 'Iran has capabilities far beyond al-Qaeda or ISIS'
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/274041
Soleimani, head of the Quds Force of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard
Corps (IRGC), was eliminated Thursday night in a US drone strike near
the Baghdad International Airport in Iraq.
"Qasem Soleimani had the blood of many thousands on his hands:
Americans, Iraqis, Lebanese, Syrians, Israelis & many, many others.
Truly one of the most evil men on the planet. Seeing his smiling mug in
selfies with terrorists across the region was hard to take. Good
riddance," Shapiro tweeted.
"That he deserved this fate, a fate he authored for so many others,
is not in question. The ability to carry it out is also impressive, as
an intelligence and operational achievement. To take a decision like
this has major strategic consequences. Iran has capabilities far beyond
al-Qaeda or ISIS when their leaders were eliminated. And they will have
many opportunities to respond.
"The question is, will the US and our allies be ready? To state the
obvious, careful, strategic, fact-based planning is not a hallmark of
our current President. So there is plenty of risk in this moment."
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