https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/02/worse-than-the-flu-busting-the-coronavirus-myths-face-masks-vaccine-covid-19
Claim: ‘It is no more dangerous than winter flu’
Many individuals who get coronavirus will experience nothing worse than seasonal flu symptoms, but the overall profile of the disease, including its mortality rate, looks more serious. At the start of an outbreak the apparent mortality rate can be an overestimate if a lot of mild cases are being missed. But this week, a WHO expert suggested that this has not been the case with Covid-19. Bruce Aylward, who led an international mission to China to learn about the virus and the country’s response, said the evidence did not suggest that we were only seeing the tip of the iceberg. If borne out by further testing, this could mean that current estimates of a roughly 1% fatality rate are accurate. This would make Covid-19 about 10 times more deadly than seasonal flu, which is estimated to kill between 290,000 and 650,000 people a year globally.
So we need to be much more careful with it. Wash hands. Wear a mask. Self-quarantine. Stop panicking.
ReplyDeleteRemove the Chinese and Iranian numbers and the fatality rate drops way below 1%
ReplyDeletewww.express.co.uk/news/science/1233679/coronavirus-update-symptoms-flu-2020-china-flu-deaths/amp
ReplyDeleteAn alternative point of view
since testing hasn't been done the true extant is unknown
ReplyDeleteIf everyone self-quarantines, who goes to work, how do businesses function, and who pays the bills? And what happens to the virus transmission when we then exit the self-quarantine?
ReplyDeleteThis is not a small problem. But there isn't much that can be done in the very near-term.
Self-quarantine for those who have caught the disease. Not suggesting we all isolate.
ReplyDelete