https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/news/articles/russia-next-target-for-intimidation-could-be-israel
There is little doubt that fateful events in Ukraine have turned over the chess board in the Middle East, as elsewhere. While risks for Israel are bound to increase, it will need—now more than ever—firm American support and a confident U.S. policy in the Middle East. A new American deal with Iran, which remains America’s regional priority even during the war in Ukraine, seems unlikely to provide those assurances.
Alarmism - Russia does not wish to increase its enemies. Last wave of sanctions allowed Israel to export fresh food to russia, perhaps they will do the same now.
ReplyDeleteThe West sanctions on Russia are very effective and devestating. They are also a deterrent to China to not invade Taiwan. Economic sanctions on china would destroy their economy, and would be very hard to recover from. China have been vaery careful and are not supporting the invasion of UKRaine
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ReplyDeleteA US administration more interested in being liked by Iran than by Israel is a big concern. And even though Russia and Israel have developed close relations it's worth remembering that when a bear comes to hug you, it isn't because of love.
ReplyDeleteOn the other hand, imagine a scenario similar to WW2. NATO, unable to ignore Russian outrages as they start mass bombing population centres is forced to engage Russia, maybe even just with a no-fly zone but that essentially starts WW3. China plays Japan to Russia's Germany and figures that NATO can't handle a war in Europe and Asia so they go after Taiwan.
ReplyDeleteChina will collapse under sanctions. The last communist dictatorship runs a capitalist economy, and depends on world Trade.
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