https://mishpacha.com/why-are-republicans-in-danger/
History has been unkind to the president’s party in midterm elections, with the party holding the White House losing Congressional seats in 19 of the past 22 contests since 1938. This year appears likely to reinforce that pattern — and, in the process, could severely undermine Donald Trump’s ability to govern, and also loosen his grip on the Republican Party during his final two years in office.
Taken together, the evidence points away from Iran or gas prices as the primary source of Republican weakness. The deeper problem is the perception that the party has failed to deliver on its domestic promises. Trump retains ardent supporters who trust his judgment on the international stage and view him as a last line of resistance against an America headed for a massive reset.
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