https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/19/trump-victory-democrats-election-430013
By almost every measure that political operatives, academics and handicappers use to forecast elections, the likely outcome is that Joe Biden will win the White House.
Yet two weeks before Election Day, the unfolding reality of 2020 is that it’s harder than ever to be sure. And Democrats are scrambling to account for the hidden variables that could still sink their nominee — or what you might call the known unknowns.
People love lying to pollsters. We have no idea what the real numbers are. Plus the way the system is set up, minimal Trump victories in a bunch of states would be more important than Biden getting landslide wins in California and New York.
ReplyDeletebut even Trump's polls show him losing
ReplyDeleteSo? They did at this point in 2016. They did on the afternoon of the election. And look what happened!
ReplyDelete