Just How Big of a Threat Is RFK Jr.?

 https://www.usnews.com/news/the-report/articles/2024-05-16/just-how-big-of-a-threat-does-rfk-jr-pose-to-biden-trump

Polling is a tricky indicator. History shows that third party candidates tend to poll higher than they perform on Election Day.

“Third party candidates tend to do a bit better when you’re further out because it's, in some ways, a measure of dissatisfaction with the current candidates,” Wagner says. “And I think it's fair to say that there is a fair amount of dissatisfaction with the current candidates.”

Polls should be examined with caution, she adds, as “we're six months out from election, so polls are not very accurate or indicative of what the results will be come November at this juncture in the election.”