Tuesday, July 21, 2020

Trump says the US has 'the best mortality rate' in the world. That's not true

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/07/20/politics/donald-trump-coronavirus-mortality-rate-intl/index.html

During a meandering and occasionally hostile interview with Fox News on Sunday, President Donald Trump made a very bold claim: that the United States has the lowest mortality rate from Covid-19 anywhere in the world.
"I heard we have one of the lowest, maybe the lowest, mortality rate anywhere in the world," Trump told "Fox News Sunday" host Chris Wallace. "Do you have the numbers please? I heard we had the best mortality rate," he added to White House press secretary Kayleigh McEnany, who was off-camera.
When McEnany returned with a piece of paper, Trump turned on Wallace. "Number one low mortality rate," he said, attacking Wallace for reporting "fake news" in the process. "You said we had the worst mortality rate in the world, and we have the best."
But the President's claim is not true. And it's not even close.
The US in fact has one of the highest death rates from the coronavirus of any country, and is worse than several badly-hit countries like Brazil, Mexico and Russia, according to data collected by Johns Hopkins University

According to Wallace, Trump also waved a graph showing a slightly different metric to tout his claim -- the case-fatality rate.
This is simply a country's number of confirmed deaths divided by its number of confirmed cases. It's a more problematic measure because it depends heavily on how much testing a country is or is not doing. A country that has consistently tested its general population will have a very low case-fatality rate, while a country that tests only sick people in hospitals will have a very high one.
Nonetheless, the US still ranks in the top 60 countries worldwide by this measure, according to JHU, around the same as Brazil and Peru and worse than dozens of other nations.
In other words, there is no measure by which Trump's claim that the US has "the best" mortality rate is true.

7 comments:

  1. Myth: No vaccine for a cornovirus has yet been successfully produced.


    Fact check: Actually, a vaccine for Ebola, which is a coronavirus related to Covid-19 was approved in January


    https://www.statnews.com/2020/01/07/inside-story-scientists-produced-world-first-ebola-vaccine/

    ReplyDelete
  2. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-51665497

    ReplyDelete
  3. what nope?


    https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/first-fda-approved-vaccine-prevention-ebola-virus-disease-marking-critical-milestone-public-health


    It was approved in December 2019 by the FDA.


    Coronoviruses include Ebola, Sars and covid 19.



    remdesivir - the treatment nowbeing trialled for Covid 19 was designed to treat Ebola. They are related coronaviruses.

    ReplyDelete
  4. the BBC article uses "coronavirus" when it should say Covid-19.




    There are a whole class of viruses which are coronaviruses, including Sars, Ebola , Mers, and Covid 19




    see
    https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/middle-east-respiratory-syndrome-coronavirus-(mers-cov)

    ReplyDelete
  5. but one vaccine does not work for all of them!

    ReplyDelete
  6. No, not yet.

    ReplyDelete

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