Friday, January 27, 2017

What makes people reject science - despite being exposed to the facts


A lot happened in 2016, but one of the biggest cultural shifts was the rise of fake news - where claims with no evidence behind them (e.g. the world is flat) get shared as fact alongside evidence-based, peer-reviewed findings (e.g. climate change is happening).

Researchers have coined this trend the 'anti-enlightenment movement', and there's been a lot of frustration and finger-pointing over who or what's to blame. But a team of psychologists has identified some of the key factors that can cause people to reject science - and it has nothing to do with how educated or intelligent they are.

In fact, the researchers found that people who reject scientific consensus on topics such as climate change, vaccine safety, and evolution are generally just as interested in science and as well-educated as the rest of us.

The issue is that when it comes to facts, people think more like lawyers than scientists, which means they 'cherry pick' the facts and studies that back up what they already believe to be true.

So if someone doesn't think humans are causing climate change, they will ignore the hundreds of studies that support that conclusion, but latch onto the one study they can find that casts doubt on this view. This is also known as cognitive bias.

"We find that people will take a flight from facts to protect all kinds of belief including their religious belief, their political beliefs, and even simple personal beliefs such as whether they are good at choosing a web browser," said one of the researchers, Troy Campbell from the University of Oregon.

"People treat facts as relevant more when the facts tend to support their opinions. When the facts are against their opinions, they don't necessarily deny the facts, but they say the facts are less relevant."

This conclusion was based on a series of new interviews, as well as a meta-analysis of the research that's been published on the topic, and was presented in a symposium called over the weekend as part of the Society for Personality and Social Psychology annual convention in San Antonio.

The goal was to figure out what's going wrong with science communication in 2017, and what we can do to fix it.

The research has yet to be published, so isn't conclusive, but the results suggest that simply focussing on the evidence and data isn't enough to change someone's mind about a particular topic, seeing as they'll most likely have their own 'facts' to fire back at you.

"Where there is conflict over societal risks - from climate change to nuclear-power safety to impacts of gun control laws, both sides invoke the mantel of science," said one of the team, Dan Kahan from Yale University.

Instead, the researchers recommend looking into the 'roots' of people's unwillingness to accept scientific consensus, and try to find common ground to introduce new ideas.

So where is this denial of science coming from? A big part of the problem, the researchers found, is that people associate scientific conclusions with political or social affiliations.

New research conducted by Kahan showed that people have actually always cherry picked facts when it comes to science - that's nothing new. But it hasn't been such a big problem in the past, because scientific conclusions were usually agreed on by political and cultural leaders, and promoted as being in the public's best interests.

Now, scientific facts are being wielded like weapons in a struggle for cultural supremacy, Kahan told Melissa Healy over at the LA Times, and the result is a "polluted science communication environment". [...]

Hornsey told the LA Times that the stakes are too high to continue to ignore the 'anti-enlightenment movement'.

"Anti-vaccination movements cost lives," said Hornsey. "Climate change skepticism slows the global response to the greatest social, economic and ecological threat of our time."

"We grew up in an era when it was just presumed that reason and evidence were the ways to understand important issues; not fear, vested interests, tradition or faith," he added.

"But the rise of climate skepticism and the anti-vaccination movement made us realise that these enlightenment values are under attack."

31 comments:

  1. Beer. How someone discusses a topic when they are in the lab is different than when they are nursing a beer at the bar or in a friend's kitchen or out on the deck.

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  2. When someone bunches together rejecting climate change theories with anti vaccination movement, it smells of dishonesty. It is a famous tactic of dishonest debate to put radical words in the mouths of the opponents. I have read some reports about climate change, and while it is a possibility, it is far from a scientific certainty, that there is sufficient justification to call for us to change our lifestyles. It is more of a political ideal which would cause someone to decide to follow that path, in the face of the debatable theory. Vaccinations are not so. It's tried and tested.

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  3. The problem isn't science, it's scientism. As the article notes, scientists will cherry picks as much as anyone else. Most of the climate change studies are exactly that, compendiums of only those facts and phenomena which fit the idea that it's happening, man-made and must be stopped in order to prevent Earth from collapsing. People wouldn't have so much a problem with that if it weren't obvious that this is what they are doing. It's obvious as rebuttals to their studies are responses in kind but personal and professional attacks determined to destroy the questioner, not answer him.
    It's the same with any other trendy politically correct area, transgenders come to mind. Only studies supporting the agenda are published, dissenters are punished.
    And people aren't stupid. They see this and realize that someone without real support for his position attacks opponents, therefore the position is not worth holding on to.

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  4. If the consensus is from scientists who get paid to do climate science work, the consensus is useless and self serving. What about the East Anglia email fraud? The issue is the human impact on global warming so that even if global warming is an issue, the impact of human activities may be insignificant. Additionally, major violators such as China will do nothing to stop their global warming activities so any other efforts are futile.

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  5. On the general issue of skepticism about science, one merely has to look at the pseudo science known as the theory of evolution. There is no incremental fossil record, the great evolutionist Gould said that it works by punk eek (punctuated equilibrium) which means sudden massive inexpicable changes in beings such as reptiles spouting wings. Double and triple dependencies such as bees and fruit trees can't be explained by survival of the fittest gradualism.

    Scientists are very subject non objective conclusions in order to get better pay for their work.

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  6. If Science and scientists are not perfect then we must deliberately ignore them and turn to those "paragon's of objectivity" - the junk scientists for the answers. If the NY Times and Washington Post are not totally objective - then we must turn to fake news and false prophets to provide us with information. Right?

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  7. In other words, Global warming from human activities is a fraud but even if it were true we can't do anything about so why be concerned.

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  8. No, but it makes what they say suspect. This applies both to scientists and the news media.

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  9. I think that summarizes it well.

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  10. Wrong. However, where it is obviously false such as evolution or where there is a great self serving money interest such as global warming and there are many scientists that disagree with the conclusions on a number of grounds, society shouldn't be warped to serve that questionable science.

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  11. who said there are many scientists that disagree with the conclusions regarding global warming?!

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  12. And if something could be done about it - you would agree something needs to be done?!

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  13. Nothing should be done that adversely affects large portions of our society such as the shutdown of the coal industry. Minor unobtrusive things can be done but they won't change much anyways.

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  14. https://www.academia.org/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming/

    http://www.nationalreview.com/article/425232/climate-change-no-its-not-97-percent-consensus-ian-tuttle

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  15. Why do you think there is "self-serving money interests" advancing the claim of global warming, and not "self-serving money interests" on the part of those who deny it?

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  16. Wow!that comment demonstrates an impressive level of cluelessness

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  17. The nasty little secret is that scientists DID lie about climate change. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2010/feb/01/leaked-emails-climate-jones-chinese

    Once people are lied to, no, they will not accept what you say! If you lose trust because you lied and manipulated, then you will be rejected! How does this article miss that?!

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  18. Did scientists lie about climate change? Did they lose the trust of many people through their lies and manipulation?

    Were scientist wrong in 70's when shrieked about global cooling? Were they wrong when they said that the world will go under because of global cooling? Did they make many people be skeptical and not trust them due to their lies?

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  19. Those who believe in global warming will be sought as experts on what is necessary and will be hired as high level consultants and reap ample profits from their efforts.

    With the current status that global warming is not being addressed fully, there is nothing for those that disagree with it to make money from. The only way they would make money now is by minimizing the impact of global warming requirements where is is applied.

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  20. a rather exaggerated and distorted description of the article you cited

    "The revelations on the inadequacies of the 1990 paper do not undermine the case that humans are causing climate change, and other studies have produced similar findings. But they do call into question the probity of some climate change science."

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  21. Please take the time to read the articles that you cite - especially when they contradict your assertions.

    "The revelations on the inadequacies of the 1990 paper do not undermine the case that humans are causing climate change, and other studies have produced similar findings. But they do call into question the probity of some climate change science."

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  22. I don't understand you at all. Do you think that the coal industry does not have a financial interest in minimizing the level of the perception of the threat of global warming?

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  23. I did not read the article. I remembered the story, and googled it. This was the top story. However, the Copenhagen conference was turned on its head because of these leaks. It clearly made a significant amount of people suspicious and unstinting of Climate Change science. The fact that they were so wrong about a Global Cooling science during the 70's is certainly part of it.

    Until these reprehensible lies and mistakes are properly addressed and explained, reasonable people will continue to doubt climate change. And they will not be wrong for it. People want to know why we can trust these same liars, who were also so wrong in the 70's, now. Why are they right here?

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  24. I just wrote the following in another comment"

    I did not read the article. I remembered the story, and googled it. This was the top story. However, the Copenhagen conference was turned on its head because of these leaks. It clearly made a significant amount of people suspicious and unstinting of Climate Change science. The fact that they were so wrong about a Global Cooling science during the 70's is certainly part of it.

    Until these reprehensible lies and mistakes are properly addressed and explained, reasonable people will continue to doubt climate change. And they will not be wrong for it. People want to know why we can trust these same liars, who were also so wrong in the 70's, now. Why are they right here?

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  25. Real fraud and deception by Team Climate Change: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-4192182/World-leaders-duped-manipulated-global-warming-data.html

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  26. Therefore it is very rational for people to be skeptical of Climate Change science and not trust it. In fact, why would a person who is not well-versed in science trust it? Why should the average person who is rational trust any of this?

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  27. https://www.yahoo.com/news/no-u-climate-scientists-didnt-011425965.html

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  28. Because the vast majority of climate scientists say the data supports man made climate change. The fact there some bad reports or deliberate misrepresenting of the facts by a decided minority doesn't change that.

    You want to extend your logic and say because there are some rabbis who distort or misrepresent halacha therefore no one will accept the validity of the system?! You are calling for or at least trying to justify rejection of all authority rather than suggesting reasonable skepticism.

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  29. I don't trust the judgment of any reform, conservative, reconstructionist or open orthodox/culturally observant rabbis.

    Why have the majority of scientists not called out and condemned those who did the fixing here? It casts doubt on all of them, on this issue.

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  30. ‘Extremely High Levels’ Of Toxic Pollutants Found In Deepest Parts Of World’s Oceans

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/toxic-pollutants-mariana-trench-alan-jamieson_us_58a1f7fee4b03df370d8eaac?fvog5z4vmb3wbqpvi&

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